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December 18, 2008Yes, the Big Twelve Conference got it right when they sent Oklahoma to their conference championship game instead of Texas. So, with that recent controversial decision in the bank lets look at it a little more deeply. Most fans and even the pundits out there, continue to bank everything on head-to-head competition. Yes, that is important but only to a certain extent. The problem with investing soley in head to head is the rest of the schedule gets ignored. What the Big Twelve was trying to prevent, or if they didn't it worked, was to keep an 8-4 or 7-5 team from representing the conference in a BCS Bowl. What if Texas was involved in the same tie-up but with say, an 8-4 record? If head to head is all that matters then they go to their championship game and if they win, represent the Big Twelve in a major BCS Bowl. Is that what we all want? It's bad enough the ACC is regularly sending three and four loss teams to their BCS Bowl. We also have to take a closer look at the overall schedule of the two schools. Texas did have that extremely difficult stretch of four ranked teams. And if judging by TSR's rankings, they were all Top Ten. At the time the games were played, Oklahoma's opponents are ranked an accumulative 43, Texas at 51. Not much difference where their opponents are ranked in the overall now: 48 and 51 respecively. Now, looking at the rankings of just the victories, Oklahoma's is 46, Texas' were ranked at No. 60. When looking at the Power Rank, that is an average of six categories of opponent's rankings, at the time all the games were played and the overall, and wins and losses and their overall. Oklahoma comes in at 32.4, Texas's PR is 39.6. Not a ton of difference but no matter how it's looked at, the Sooners come out on top. What hurt Texas's rankings, I believe was their first five games. The Longhorn's first five had an overall ranking of 75.2 at the time of the games played and 71.4 now. Compare that to the Sooner's 63.8 and 67.8 overall and they still come out on top. Texas did have two opponents that improved, UTEP started at No. 116 but only improved to No. 85. Rice improved from No. 79 all the way to No. 33. Now couple Oklahoma's edge in rankings in the beginning and the overall with how they finished. They also defeated No. 11 TCU and Big East champion, No. 17 Cincinnati (11-2) by over 25 points. Plus, it's hard to ignore a team that scores over 60 per game for that many games in a row. The Sooners just finished too strong to ignore, which is why the overall regular season can't be ignored. Still, this is not to say that Texas didn't deserve the conference championship game bid, this is more a testament for a conference to cover their tracks in case an unranked team with a handfull of losses sneaks in and becomes an embarrassment. One thing they could do is insert a clause that head to head must over rule the BCS rankings when both teams are ranked in the Top Five, as Texas and Oklahoma are. I don't think anyone would have had a problem with that but to say the Big Twelve didn't get it right just because they ignored head to head, is not completely accurate. It certainly wouldn't have been smart.
Filed by J.D. Long |
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